MELBOURNE CUP CARNIVAL COUNTRY FINAL QC
Results
BIG SEXY (11) is the one with upside that can take this out. The first up win at Hamilton was very good as favourite before going under as favourite at Bendigo when settling outside the leader on a day it was beneficial to be on the rails. Drawn very wide but is the horse that can elevate significantly. DUBAI WATCH (8) is one that can run well at each-way odds, finding the line strongly in the Geelong qualifier last time out. Up to a mile suits and he can get the right run in the three-wide with cover line. FRIDGE MONSTER (17) keeps raising the bar, winning two in a row before giving a bold sight at Geelong when just fading late to finish a narrow third. He's some query at a high pressure 1600m but he'll take catching. GUERITE (6) beat Big Sexy in the Bendigo lead-up, given a great ride to do so. She's progressive herself and should relish this trip. CELSIUS STAR (1) was third at Bendigo with the big weight and has to have each-way claims again
Visit TAB.COM.AUBIG SEXY (11) is the one with upside that can take this out. The first up win at Hamilton was very good as favourite before going under as favourite at Bendigo when settling outside the leader on a day it was beneficial to be on the rails. Drawn very wide but is the horse that can elevate significantly. DUBAI WATCH (8) is one that can run well at each-way odds, finding the line strongly in the Geelong qualifier last time out. Up to a mile suits and he can get the right run in the three-wide with cover line. FRIDGE MONSTER (17) keeps raising the bar, winning two in a row before giving a bold sight at Geelong when just fading late to finish a narrow third. He's some query at a high pressure 1600m but he'll take catching. GUERITE (6) beat Big Sexy in the Bendigo lead-up, given a great ride to do so. She's progressive herself and should relish this trip. CELSIUS STAR (1) was third at Bendigo with the big weight and has to have each-way claims again
Form hard to fault. Most recently set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 13 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 29 over 1400m, 1.5 len behind Guerite carrying 59.5kg at $13. The start before that 4th of 12 at Caulfield Bm84 on October 15 over 1440m, 1.5 len behind Ndola carrying 56kg at $61. Solid chance despite the tough gate.
Second run back. First-up after 10 months 2nd of 14 at Seymour Bm70 Hcp on October 12 over 1400m, 0.5 len behind Lovelycut carrying 62.5kg at $61. Previously second-up 8th of 15 at Ballarat Bm78 on December 7 over 1600m, 4.5 len behind Place Of Gold with 60kg at $16. Fitter, not discounting.
Most recently was well back until straightening; raced back then made ground from the turn; won by 0.5 len at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) October 23 over 1500m on a soft track defeating Dubai Watch carrying 56kg at $16. Before that 13th of 15 at Caulfield Bm78 on August 30 over 1800m, on a slow track; 10 len behind Unlimited with 56kg at $4.80. Can measure up.
Most recently won by a neck at Horsham Bm70 October 19 over 1400m defeating I Catchem Fox with 59.5kg at $8.50. The start before that made ground from midfield; 4th of 14 at Benalla Bm70 on September 26 over 1406m, 1.1 len behind Dark Journey carrying 59.5kg at $15. Harder now.
Most recently second last of 12 at Caulfield Bm70 on October 15 over 1440m, 10 len behind Surfin' Bird with 62kg at $31. The start before that came from midfield and won by 0.8 len at Benalla Bm70 September 26 over 1406m defeating Ashau Valley carrying 59.5kg at $8. Prepared to risk.
Recent form sound. Most recently won by 1.0 len at Bendigo Bm78 October 29 over 1400m defeating Big Sexy carrying 54.5kg at $10. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Horsham Bm70 on October 19 over 1400m, 2 len behind Belthil with 56.5kg at $3.90. Impossible to knock, go close.
Form hard to fault. Most recently won by 2.75 len at Sale Bm70 October 26 over 1400m on a heavy track defeating Gunado carrying 58kg at $8.50. Before that ran on from midfield; 3rd of 10 at Sale Bm66 on October 8 over 1427m, 1.75 len behind Fridge Monster carrying 60kg at $5. Drawn well and is in the mix.
Last start ran on from midfield; 2nd of 13 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 1500m, slow going 0.5 len behind Ruakaka Raider with 55.5kg at $14. Before that 6th of 14 at Seymour Bm70 Hcp on October 12 over 1400m, 5.5 len behind Lovelycut carrying 60kg at $21. Looks hard to hold out.
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 2nd of 14 at Benalla Bm70 on September 26 over 1406m, 0.8 len behind Dark Journey carrying 60kg at $51. Second run from a spell second last of 13 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 1500m, slow going 7 len behind Ruakaka Raider carrying 56.5kg at $31. Has a bit to find.
Racing well recently. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Hamilton Bm70 October 11 over 1600m on a rain affected track defeating Lake Vostok carrying 54.5kg at $5.50. The race before that won by 0.5 len at Geelong 0 - 62 September 25 over 1540m defeating Chilly Charlie carrying 56.5kg at $3.70. Have to respect again.
Third-up today. First-up favourite; won by 2.75 len at Hamilton Bm70 October 11 over 1100m in soft going defeating Sunburnt with 56.5kg at $2.40. Second run from a spell sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 13 at Bendigo Bm78 on October 29 over 1400m, 1.0 len behind Guerite carrying 55kg at $2.45. Well placed. Profiles nicely and should take beating.
Recent form sound. Last start came home strongly from last on the turn; 3rd of 10 at Morphettville 0-68 on October 18 over 1600m, 1.1 len behind Sparkup with 58.5kg at $3.70. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Murtoa Bm66 on October 4 over 1600m, neck behind Meh Keffi with 58kg at $3.50. In the mix.
Last start 2nd of 11 at Sale Bm70 on October 26 over 1400m, on rain affected going; 2.75 len behind Keane Enuff with 57kg at $9.50. The run before that eased back early on 6th of 11 at Horsham Bm70 on October 19 over 1400m, 2.25 len behind Belthil with 57kg at $16. Looms as a genuine threat.
Last start sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 11 at Horsham Bm70 on October 19 over 1400m, neck behind Belthil carrying 58kg at $6. The race before that 5th of 12 at Murtoa Bm66 on October 4 over 1600m, 2.5 len behind Meh Keffi carrying 60kg at $11. Can sneak a place.
Form hard to fault. Last start ran on from midfield; 2nd of 12 at Hamilton Bm70 on October 11 over 1600m, on a slow track; 0.5 len behind Barbie'sdreamworld with 58kg at $3.90. The run before that 4th of 7 at this track Mares Bm78 on September 21 over 1800m, 2 len behind She's A Hustler with 56kg at $8.50. Looks tough to stop again.
Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Last start won by a neck at Murtoa Bm66 October 4 over 1600m defeating Fearless Writer with 58kg at $5. The start before that second last of 13 at this track in the G2 Lets Elope on September 13 over 1400m, 6 len behind Lazzura carrying 55kg at $201. Harder here, rough hope.
Racing well recently. Most recently gave a sight but was run down late 3rd of 13 at Geelong Mcc Heat (Qc) on October 23 over 1500m, slow going 0.5 len behind Ruakaka Raider with 56.5kg at $6. The race before that won by 0.8 len at Sale Bm66 October 8 over 1427m defeating Bluepinot carrying 59kg at $4.20. Flying, goes close.
Second run back. First-up after five months 3rd of 14 at Seymour Bm70 Hcp on October 12 over 1400m, 2 len behind Lovelycut with 60kg at $26. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at Moonee Valley Cg&E Bm70 on February 21 over 1600m, 0.6 len behind Howlin' Rain carrying 55.5kg at $5. Has to be respected.
Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up ran on strongly from last on the turn; 3rd of 11 at Horsham Bm70 on October 19 over 1400m, 1.5 len behind Belthil with 59.5kg at $19. Second run from a spell 3rd of 11 at Sale Bm70 on October 26 over 1400m, on heavy track; 3 len behind Keane Enuff carrying 59.5kg at $8. Risking.
Most recently won by a neck at Horsham Bm62 October 19 over 1800m defeating Chairman with 59.5kg at $4.20. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Hamilton Bm70 on October 11 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.3 len behind Barbie'sdreamworld with 55.5kg at $26. This is going to test him.